The “Full Employment” Fallacy
What does a 1912 Baker and a 1959 Opel have in common?
In 1973, a small team of engineers took an existing production car – an Opel made in 1959 – and made some changes. The result was demonstrated at the Wood River competition: A car that did 376 miles per gallon!
40 years later, in 2013, Volkswagen unveiled an eco car that does 313 miles per gallon. Oh, wait, that’s 63mpg less than what we could do in 1973! If we could achieve 376 miles per gallon four decades ago, why is less efficient technology only just hitting the streets?
In a capitalist society, or indeed any money-based society, people need a regular income to survive – and for the vast majority of us that means getting a job. But what happens when the world population grows? In 1960, a year after the 1959 Opel car was made, there were 3 billion people on the planet. By 2010, around the time Volkswagen were designing their XL1 Eco car, the world’s population had grown to almost 7 billion, so an extra 4 billion jobs were needed if everyone was to survive.
Consumerism is the tool that capitalism uses to create more jobs. You don’t just buy a car, you invest in it. You have to keep buying fuel, and then there are the regular services and repairs. You need road tax, insurance and maybe some furry dice hanging from the rear view mirror. After a few years, just before the car becomes worthless because of planned obsolescence, you sell it (or scrap it) and buy another one.
As long as people need jobs to survive, consumption will have to keep growing. We’re locked into a death spiral that guarantees extinction of the human race, and quite possibly all life on earth. A new word was recently coined to describe this: Terracide – the conscious act of destroying the planet we live on for profit.
Based on current projections, by 2050 the world population will grow to around 9 or 10 billion people – another 2-3 billion jobs will be needed. The frantic need for consumption will need cranking up to 11 to make that happen. Factor in advances in technology, resulting in technical unemployment, and… How far can we crank up consumption before the old engine of growth explodes? And can we sustain infinite growth on a finite planet? (No, we can’t, obviously.)
What if we lived in a world where having a job was optional? Would we need to delay innovations for 40 years or more, in order to create more demand for consumption? If having a job was optional, would it not make sense to find every way possible to reduce the amount of work you need to do? If we could double the miles per gallon of a car, we’d halve the amount of work needed to make fuel. In fact, why bother with fuel at all?
In 1960, a small company took an existing production car – a 1912 Baker Electric Mode (yes, an electric car from over 100 years ago!) – and made some changes. What did they achieve? The worlds’ first solar-powered car.
For decades we’ve been suppressing technologies to avoid excessive technological unemployment. But that still didn’t create enough jobs, so we’ve had to create billions of meaningless jobs, just so people can “earn” a living. Every day vast swarms of people proudly go to work and push currency numbers around a computer screen, file paperwork and spend hours in pointless meetings, just so they can get enough money to buy things they don’t want or need in order to create yet more meaningless jobs for other people. And technology is now replacing those meaningless jobs as well!
It’s complete and utter madness. Maybe it’s time to trade in capitalism’s old engine of eternal growth for something that’s more economical to run?
It’s estimated, conservatively, that if we put all existing technology and knowledge to work that you would only need to work one day a month. And that’s assuming we retain the insanity known as consumerism – ditch that and you’d be looking at a tiresome workload of something like 1 week per year. Imagine spending the other 51 weeks hanging out with friends, or learning new skills, or anything else you can conceive (even work, if that’s what floats your boat).
But no, collectively it seems we’d prefer to commit terracide. Whenever any alternate to capitalism or money is mentioned, people dutifully protest that there would be no work and they wouldn’t be able to survive. The only course of action, therefore, is one in which we consciously destroy the planet we live on, for profit!
Bravo, humanity. Bravo.
Another video of the first solar car: Solar Powered Car 1960
The “Full Employment” Fallacy | The Progressive Press http://t.co/tW5yuFlg1D
The term “consumer” should be something we all want to avoid … http://t.co/X7MFzMwc80
New words are important. “Terracide” I had been looking for that word too describe the “lemming like” quality that modern mass society, in general, seems to possess. Spell check doesn’t recognize this one yet. I wonder how long it will take to recognize / approve the new word? A terracidal herd….
Telling me we live in a jet-pack future, handicapped by capitalism? Mind Blown. http://t.co/bLbWGTJMml via @ProgressivePrs
According to wikipedia, the first jet-pack was invented in 1919 by the Russian inventor Aleksandr Fyodorovich Andreyev:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jet_pack#Andreyev
It’s only in recent years (around 2005 IIRC) that they started becoming widely available. Recently (2013) an Ironman suit has been promoted:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2330170/The-real-life-Iron-Man-suit-let-jump-space-land-WITHOUT-parachute-using-rocket-boots.html
The “Full Employment” Fallacy http://t.co/gr54nWohYF via @ProgressivePrs
Thid is why we have a one way mission to mars.
There’s no need for us to go to Mars – at the rate we’re destroying the planet, Earth will look like Mars pretty soon.
One of the images produced by the recent uprising in Turkey used satellite photos to illustrate why they were originally protesting the destruction of the Gezi park – the images clearly show Earth turning in to Mars:
https://www.facebook.com/RepeaceTurkiye/posts/369523613147884
I have a different expectation. I expect that labor has been induced to bid against itself by job eliminiation via technology and resource use. As we’re running out of resources, and especially running out of room to put the pollution, in our world that’s ever-emptying-of-resources, yet full of people who need work, shifting from eliminating labor to eliminating resource use/waste can fit our conditions much better. So I expect this will lead to labor receiving more of it’s true worth in a greener, sustainable and more just future.
Hi Brian,
For me, the distinction between jobs and waste is a false dichotomy – they are part of the same thing, you can’t have one without the other.
If we didn’t need full employment, we wouldn’t need lots of meaningles jobs and that would massively reduce waste, which in turn would reduce the number of jobs and so on. Wage labour would intrinsically shrink to a nominal level.
That’s not to say we shouldn’t also focus on reducing waste – we need to become massively more sustainable if we’re to survive as a species. But reducing waste is somewhat against the grain in a society where everyone needs a job – because there are never going to be enough real jobs for the number of people we have.
Of course, this isn’t a binary choice – there are other possibilities. For example, we could reduce the number of people. But even if we reduced the number of people, until we get over this need for full employment, it doesn’t really tackle the root issue that prevents are more radical shift towards sustainability: people would still need to act like consumers to ensure everyone has a regular income.
Other alternatives include things like “Basic Income Guarantee” – where everyone, regardless of age/wealth/employment/etc, is given enough money each month for basic essentials (food, shelter, health, etc). This might sound like an absurd notion at first, but do some googling (“BIEN” is a good search term) and give it a closer look. Remember that if we have money for wars and bankster bailouts, we have money for people.
Let me know what your thoughts are – have I changed your mind, and if not why not?
I reject the idea that there isn’t enough space.
Don’t mistake me for a republican by saying this, but I strongly suspect california’s ludicrous housing prices are due to the insane level of regulation on building. Even in exurbs like livermore and tracy, homes still cost 3 times what they do in more densely populated areas in the east and mid-west where they don’t have insane red tape for building.
Example: In Oakland, there is a victorian building which has been in the news: it’s been gutted by fire twice, but the owners are STILL wrangling over permits a year later because it’s considered “historic”.
In outlying areas it’s insane environmental rules. Please explain to me what there is to “preserve” about lands which have been repeatedly in use as farms for a century?
It was recently proven that, with a population density akin to New York City, the entire world population (6.8 billion at the time of the research) would fit in to the US state of Texas.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-15445092
The real problem is not so much where to fit the human bodies, but the things that humans do to the environment around them due to capitalism’s insatiable appetite for consumerism.
In terms of housing, did you know that there are 18.5 million unoccupied homes in the USA? There are 3.5 million homeless. You could house everyone in USA, including the homeless, and still have 15 million empty houses left over.
http://occupyamerica.crooksandliars.com/diane-sweet/35-million-homeless-and-185-million-va
Part of the reason so many houses are built is to boost GDP. A classic example of this is China where they build numerous “ghost cities” – complete cities with virtually nobody living in them:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPILhiTJv7E
GDP is a prime example of the “brain damage” that is capitalism.
http://t.co/VBf7BhxJYK
http://t.co/wvtFJWbz3B Terracide. Makes me sad.
Yes, terracide in so many different ways.
In 1960, with 6B people a single income was sufficient for a very satisfactory middle class lifestyle. In 2010, with 9 or 10B people, even dual income families are just barely making do — consumerism is based on living beyond our means.
What were wants, have now become needs. We chose the sexiness of gas guzzlers, and suppressed the market for gas conscious cars.
We have lived on free resources (mining, timber, water, fertile soils) for so land, and the bank is running out. As these resources have tapped out, not only do we pay more for what have now become essential resources, but also the jobs from these industries have shriveled away.
The developed nations built high costs of living, slightly above minimum wage does not cut it any longer, more mouths to feed, not enough high paying jobs to go around.
We seem to certainly be spiraling to our doom.
I’m not sure that the ‘wants’ have become ‘needs’ – they are still ‘wants’, it’s just that clever advertising and social engineering has turned them in to ‘really, really, really want!’. To a large degree, the need for full employment has driven us in that direction – because it’s our “economy” that ‘needs’ those things to be ‘wanted’.
In terms of tapping out our resources, it’s important to note that we still have many resources left – otherwise you run the risk that people can shoot down the idea of sustainability based on that fact. The real issue is that the remaining resources are getting much more harmful to tap – the tar sands in Canada are a prime example.
I watched a TED talk today that really drives this message home in a manner that is difficult for even the most staunch capitalist to deny – it’s well worth a watch if you have time, and please share it with friends:
http://www.ted.com/talks/naomi_klein_addicted_to_risk.html
If enough of us can start to send the same message, that we need to become better custodians of the planet we live on, we can hopefully change societal attitudes and hopefully avoid terracide.
Consumerism isn’t what is propping up the job market, it’s what’s making us poor!
A single income worked in the 60’s because high schools and governmental programs encouraged people to maintain and even create things which are now the sole domain of other businesses now.
Today, most people don’t even cook their own meals, and repair your own stuff? Perish the thought!.
Nearly every device now has some kind of service requirement,etc.
Ever wonder why industrial arts (wood and metal shop, auto shop) disappeared from the majority of high schools? It has rendered us FAR less self-sufficient than our grandparents, and that means we’re giving a LOT more of our wealth to other people to maintain and provide things we used to do for ourselves.
People used to assemble prototypes in their garage. Now most people are compelled to take the idea in the raw to incumbent firms, who, prototype in hand, can steal that patent and prevent emergent competition.
I disagree, Ae. Inflation is what’s making us poor, and also the disparity between productivity (which has increased exponentially) and salary (which has stagnated significantly). I’m sure you’ve seen or can easily google much more info on those things online.
In terms of things like people not cooking their own meals, etc., I’d suggest that falls under a different (and also extensively important) topic of “subsistence” – people’s ability to look after themselves.
I might do an article on that topic because it’s so important. But for now, have a read of this and you’ll get an idea what I’m alluding to:
http://logica.ugent.be/philosophica/fulltexts/26-2.pdf
If you look at what the capitalist elites have done, they have made it almost impossible for people in a given geographic area to be self-sufficient. That’s why industry is offshored, its why our food is grown so far away, etc. If we rebel strongly against them, they simply cut off the links – we’ve become utterly dependent on support from the outside world.
In some ways that’s a good thing – it should stop wars between countries because critical supplies could be embargoed. However, it also gives the elites/oligarchs massive power over the proletariat.
For this reason I highly recommend people spend time making their communities much more self-sufficient, particularly in respect to water, food and power.
Thanks for giving me an idea for my next article!
The “Full Employment” Fallacy http://t.co/LWceli92Yz
RT @stanjourdan: “The “Full Employment” Fallacy http://t.co/ERFsdomwXs”
Obsolescence programmée, consommation, cercle vicieux
The Full Employment Fallacy http://t.co/lSvV2KQ1hs #bge
Om eens even heeeel goed over na te denken! ….. *denkt na http://t.co/r5wuwHu4wk
O neomejeni rasti na omejenem planetu! http://t.co/706i9DJJy1
The “Full Employment” Fallacy http://t.co/Cxrv5DIJYU via @ProgressivePrs I’m all for full employment, but this article made me re-think
The “Full Employment” Fallacy | Der ‘Vollbeschäftigungs Irrtum’
>>> http://t.co/nwtSpvJ5tp | #Change #Zukunft #Lösungen #BGE #Innovation